The view from Arizona – Potentially a ‘Senate swing’ state

The main contestants have been planning their campaigns for months, staging rallies, hosting debates and even staging an ad campaign that began online with thousands of supporters donating to help pay for TV ads….

The view from Arizona - Potentially a 'Senate swing' state

The main contestants have been planning their campaigns for months, staging rallies, hosting debates and even staging an ad campaign that began online with thousands of supporters donating to help pay for TV ads.

Democrats aren’t just battling to claim control of the House, their biggest legislative priority, they are looking to take control of the Senate as well, a massive challenge in an election cycle where they are lagging Republicans in fundraising.

The Democrats’ ‘blue wave’ expectations are high, but the political and economic climate certainly isn’t helping the party.

If Democrats lose a crucial Senate seat in a state President Donald Trump won by nearly 20 percentage points in 2016, it could cripple their chances of expanding their majority and removing Donald Trump from office.

That might be the symbolic meaning of this debate, but the real meaning is that Democrats aren’t being allowed to check Donald Trump without the help of at least one more of the Republican-led Congress, and potentially both Houses.

The Democrats’ most viable candidates to pick up this seat have also been keen to make their stand on gun control – the obvious thread that runs through the campaign. But even if they win this seat, there is no guarantee that it will help them in areas like Arizona, where gun control is not a top issue. The party may still struggle to elect key regional and state level candidates in their bid to take back the White House.

Leave a Comment